Term

Overbought

An oscillator becomes overbought when it enters its upper zone after a rapid rise. This reflects strong momentum, not an automatic signal to sell.

Overbought is an assessment of momentum, not fair price. An oscillator looks at how quickly the price has moved up in the last N candles, and if the surge is above normal, the value hits the upper zone. For RSI, this is traditionally the 70 level, for Stochastic - 80. The numbers are conventional: they were chosen decades ago, and for a specific asset and timeframe, they often need to be adjusted.

The most expensive mistake a beginner can make is interpreting overbought conditions as a ready-made sell signal. In a strong upward movement, the indicator enters the upper zone at the very beginning and stays there throughout the entire move. Selling against such a movement just because "the instrument shows a lot" means going against the entire market.

How overbought conditions are used meaningfully. First: as an entry filter - not to buy at the moment when the movement has already accelerated, but to wait for a pullback. Second: as a reason to take a closer look at the asset, then the decision is made based on market structure and levels. Third: in combination with divergence, when the price makes a new high, but the indicator does not confirm it.

In a sideways market, overbought conditions work noticeably more honestly than in a trend: there, the price really has a ceiling from which it reverses.

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